Industry Trends

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Featured Reports



Real Spending

By Daniel Silver

U.S.: Real consumption up 0.2% in December with income staying flat.



Consumer Confidence

By Daniel Silver

U.S.: Modest improvement for consumer confidence in January.


2.14.2014Import Prices

By Jimmy Coonan

U.S.: Nonfuel import prices up 0.3% in January.


Related Market Updates



U.S. Weekly Prospects

By Michael Feroli

Real GDP growth forecast for 1Q14 lowered to 2.0% on incoming January data; forecast for 2Q14 still 2.5%. Most evidence suggests that the downside surprises in the data are not predominantly weather effects. CPI and core CPI up 0.1% in January; CPI and PPI detail suggest core PCE will be 0.05% and only 1.0%oya.



Global Issues

By Bruce Kasman

We can grow, will we heal?



U.S. Employment Scorecard

By Daniel Silver

Monthly data table of labor market and payroll levels.



U.S. Interest Rate Forecast

By Alex Roever

Forecast for treasuries, three-month LIBOR, effective funds rate and more.



Global Data Watch

By Bruce Kasman

Activity indicators soften, but flash readings point to elevated Feb. PMI. Absent severe weather and LNY noise, Euro area indicators hold up well. Japan’s trade performance continues to disappoint. Brazil builds policy credibility with budget adjustment; 50bp hike expected next week from COPOM.


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